Polls are an interesting piece of the election puzzle. They’re meant to give you a picture of the current state of people’s opinions. The problem, however, is that polls only tend to measure a small group in a small part of the area. When one group starts to believe that another group’s polls are not a true reflection, guess what? “We’ve got our own poll that best represents how the nation feels about the candidates!” Pretty soon, we’re bombarded with “polls a here, polls a there, polls a everywhere”. What this ends up turning into is the equivalent of throwing a freshly made cow patty into a wall and seeing what sticks. The problem, however, is that if you don’t look at what sticks right away, it will eventually slide off the wall. Barely a reminder of the statement it hoped to make.

So here’s a freshly made cow patty in my hand and I’m about to throw it into the wall of American perspectives (realclearpolitics.com):

 

Polling Data

Poll Date Sample MoE Obama (D) McCain (R) Spread
RCP Average 10/20 – 10/27 50.3 44.1 Obama +6.2
Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby 10/25 – 10/27 1202 LV 2.9 49 45 Obama +4
Rasmussen Reports 10/24 – 10/26 3000 LV 2.0 51 46 Obama +5
Gallup (Traditional)* 10/24 – 10/26 2448 LV 2.0 50 45 Obama +5
Gallup (Expanded)* 10/24 – 10/26 2343 LV 2.0 53 43 Obama +10
Diageo/Hotline 10/24 – 10/26 879 LV 3.6 50 42 Obama +8
ABC News/Wash Post 10/23 – 10/26 1314 LV 2.5 52 45 Obama +7
IBD/TIPP 10/22 – 10/26 886 LV 3.0 47 44 Obama +3
GWU/Battleground 10/20 – 10/26 1000 LV 3.1 49 46 Obama +3
Newsweek 10/22 – 10/23 882 LV 4.0 53 41 Obama +12
CBS News/NY Times 10/19 – 10/22 771 LV 52 39 Obama +13
FOX News 10/20 – 10/21 936 LV 3.0 49 40 Obama +9
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl 10/17 – 10/20 1159 RV 2.9 52 42 Obama +10
Associated Press/GfK 10/16 – 10/20 800 LV 3.5 44 43 Obama +1
Ipsos/McClatchy 10/16 – 10/20 773 LV 3.5 50 42 Obama +8
CNN/Opinion Research 10/17 – 10/19 764 LV 3.5 51 46 Obama +5
Pew Research 10/16 – 10/19 2382 LV 2.5 53 39 Obama +14
Democracy Corps (D) 10/15 – 10/19 1000 LV 50 46 Obama +4
F&M/Hearst-Argyle 10/13 – 10/19 LV 3.5 50 45 Obama +5
LA Times/Bloomberg 10/10 – 10/13 1030 LV 3.0 50 41 Obama +9
CBS News/NY Times 10/10 – 10/13 699 LV 53 39 Obama +14
USA Today/Gallup (Traditional)* 10/10 – 10/12 761 LV 4.0 50 46 Obama +4
USA Today/Gallup (Expanded)* 10/10 – 10/12 1030 LV 3.0 52 45 Obama +7
Pew Research 10/09 – 10/12 1191 LV 49 42 Obama +7
Ipsos/McClatchy 10/09 – 10/13 1036 RV 3.0 48 39 Obama +9
Democracy Corps (D) 10/08 – 10/12 1000 LV 51 42 Obama +9
ABC News/Wash Post 10/08 – 10/11 766 LV 3.5 53 43 Obama +10
FOX News 10/08 – 10/09 900 RV 3.0 46 39 Obama +7
Newsweek 10/08 – 10/09 1035 RV 3.7 52 41 Obama +11
Rasmussen Reports 10/07 – 10/09 3000 LV 2.0 50 45 Obama +5
Gallup 10/07 – 10/09 2784 RV 2.0 51 41 Obama +10
Hotline/FD 10/07 – 10/09 838 LV 2.0 48 41 Obama +7
Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby 10/06 – 10/09 1200 LV 4.2 48 43 Obama +5
GWU/Battleground 10/06 – 10/09 800 LV 3.5 51 43 Obama +8
Time 10/03 – 10/06 1053 LV 50 44 Obama +6
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl 10/04 – 10/05 658 RV 3.8 49 43 Obama +6
CBS News 10/03 – 10/05 616 LV 48 45 Obama +3
CNN 10/03 – 10/05 694 LV 3.5 53 45 Obama +8
Ipsos/McClatchy 10/02 – 10/06 858 RV 3.3 47 40 Obama +7
Democracy Corps (D) 10/01 – 10/05 1000 LV 49 46 Obama +3
Marist 09/28 – 09/30 943 LV 49 44 Obama +5
CBS News 09/27 – 09/30 769 LV 50 41 Obama +9
Associated Press/GfK 09/27 – 09/30 808 LV 3.4 48 41 Obama +7
ABC News/Wash Post 09/27 – 09/29 916 LV 3.0 50 46 Obama +4
Pew Research 09/27 – 09/29 1181 LV 4.0 49 43 Obama +6
Ipsos/McClatchy 09/26 – 09/29 1007 RV 3.1 48 45 Obama +3
Time 09/26 – 09/29 1133 LV 50 43 Obama +7
Gallup Tracking 09/24 – 09/26 2759 RV 2.0 49 44 Obama +5
Rasmussen Tracking 09/24 – 09/26 3000 LV 2.0 50 44 Obama +6
Hotline/FD Tracking 09/24 – 09/26 914 RV 3.3 48 43 Obama +5
GWU/Battleground 09/21 – 09/25 1000 LV 3.3 46 48 McCain +2
CBS News/NY Times 09/21 – 09/24 LV 4.0 48 43 Obama +5
FOX News 09/22 – 09/23 900 RV 3.0 45 39 Obama +6
Marist 09/22 – 09/23 689 LV 4.0 49 44 Obama +5
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl 09/19 – 09/22 1085 RV 3.0 48 46 Obama +2
ABC News/Wash Post 09/19 – 09/22 780 LV 3.5 52 43 Obama +9
LA Times/Bloomberg 09/19 – 09/22 838 LV 49 45 Obama +4
Ipsos/McClatchy 09/18 – 09/22 923 RV 3.2 44 43 Obama +1
CNN/Opinion Research 09/19 – 09/21 697 LV 3.0 51 47 Obama +4
F&M/Hearst-Argyle 09/15 – 09/21 1138 LV 3.0 45 47 McCain +2
Gallup Tracking 09/15 – 09/17 2815 RV 2.0 48 44 Obama +4
Rasmussen Tracking 09/15 – 09/17 3000 LV 2.0 48 48 Tie
Hotline/FD Tracking 09/15 – 09/17 912 RV 3.2 46 42 Obama +4
GWU/Battleground 09/11 – 09/18 800 LV 3.0 47 47 Tie
CBS News/NY Times 09/12 – 09/16 LV 3.0 49 44 Obama +5
Quinnipiac 09/11 – 09/16 987 LV 3.1 49 45 Obama +4
Pew Research 09/09 – 09/14 2307 LV 46 46 Tie
Reuters/Zogby 09/11 – 09/13 1008 LV 3.1 47 45 Obama +2
Newsweek 09/10 – 09/11 1038 RV 3.8 46 46 Tie
GWU/Battleground 09/07 – 09/11 1000 LV 3.1 44 48 McCain +4
Associated Press/GfK 09/05 – 09/10 812 LV 44 48 McCain +4
FOX News 09/08 – 09/09 900 RV 3.0 42 45 McCain +3
Gallup Tracking 09/07 – 09/09 2714 RV 2.0 43 48 McCain +5
Rasmussen Tracking 09/07 – 09/09 3000 LV 2.0 48 47 Obama +1
Hotline/FD Tracking 09/07 – 09/09 902 RV 3.2 45 45 Tie
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl 09/06 – 09/08 860 RV 3.3 46 45 Obama +1
ABC News/Wash Post 09/05 – 09/07 LV 3.0 47 49 McCain +2
USA Today/Gallup 09/05 – 09/07 823 LV 4.0 44 54 McCain +10
CBS News* 09/05 – 09/07 655 RV 4.0 44 46 McCain +2
CNN/OpinionResearch 09/05 – 09/07 942 RV 3.0 48 48 Tie
IBD/TIPP 09/02 – 09/07 868 RV 3.3 45 40 Obama +5
CBS News 09/01 – 09/03 734 RV 3.0 42 42 Tie
Gallup Tracking 08/30 – 09/01 2772 RV 2.0 50 42 Obama +8
Rasmussen Tracking 08/30 – 09/01 3000 LV 2.0 51 45 Obama +6
USAT/Gallup Tracking* 08/30 – 08/31 1835 LV 3.0 50 43 Obama +7
CNN 08/29 – 08/31 927 RV 3.0 49 48 Obama +1
Hotline/FD 08/29 – 08/31 805 RV 3.5 48 39 Obama +9
CBS News 08/29 – 08/31 781 RV 4.0 48 40 Obama +8
Gallup Tracking 08/23 – 08/25 2784 RV 2.0 44 46 McCain +2
Rasmussen Tracking 08/23 – 08/25 3000 LV 3.0 46 46 Tie
CNN 08/23 – 08/24 909 RV 3.5 47 47 Tie
Hotline/FD 08/18 – 08/24 1022 RV 3.0 44 40 Obama +4
USA Today/Gallup 08/21 – 08/23 765 LV 4.0 48 45 Obama +3
ABC News/Wash Post 08/19 – 08/22 LV 49 45 Obama +4
FOX News 08/19 – 08/20 900 RV 3.0 42 39 Obama +3
CBS News/NY Times 08/15 – 08/19 869 RV 3.0 45 42 Obama +3
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl 08/15 – 08/18 1005 RV 3.1 45 42 Obama +3
LA Times/Bloomberg 08/15 – 08/18 1248 RV 45 43 Obama +2
Gallup Tracking 08/15 – 08/17 2660 RV 2.0 46 43 Obama +3
Rasmussen Tracking 08/15 – 08/17 3000 LV 2.0 47 46 Obama +1
Reuters/Zogby 08/14 – 08/16 1089 LV 3.0 41 46 McCain +5
Quinnipiac 08/12 – 08/17 1547 LV 2.5 47 42 Obama +5
Battleground 08/10 – 08/14 1000 LV 3.1 46 47 McCain +1
IBD/TIPP 08/04 – 08/09 856 RV 43 38 Obama +5
Pew Research 07/31 – 08/10 2414 RV 3.0 46 43 Obama +3
CBS News 07/31 – 08/05 906 RV 45 39 Obama +6
Gallup Tracking 08/01 – 08/03 2659 RV 46 43 Obama +3
Rasmussen Tracking 08/01 – 08/03 3000 LV 2.0 46 47 McCain +1
Time 07/31 – 08/04 808 LV 3.5 46 41 Obama +5
AP-Ipsos 07/31 – 08/04 833 RV 48 42 Obama +6
CNN 07/27 – 07/29 914 RV 3.0 51 44 Obama +7
USA Today/Gallup 07/25 – 07/27 791 LV 4.0 45 49 McCain +4
Pew Research 07/23 – 07/27 1241 RV 47 42 Obama +5
Democracy Corps (D) 07/21 – 07/24 1004 LV 50 45 Obama +5
FOX News 07/22 – 07/23 900 RV 3.0 41 40 Obama +1
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl 07/18 – 07/21 1003 RV 47 41 Obama +6
Gallup Tracking 07/13 – 07/15 2638 RV 2.0 47 44 Obama +3
Rasmussen Tracking 07/13 – 07/15 3000 LV 2.0 48 45 Obama +3
CBS News/NY Times 07/07 – 07/14 1462 RV 3.0 45 39 Obama +6
ABC News/Wash Post 07/10 – 07/13 LV 49 46 Obama +3
Reuters/Zogby 07/09 – 07/13 1039 LV 3.1 47 40 Obama +7
Quinnipiac 07/08 – 07/13 1725 LV 2.4 50 41 Obama +9
IBD/TIPP 07/07 – 07/11 854 RV 40 37 Obama +3
Newsweek 07/09 – 07/10 1037 RV 3.6 44 41 Obama +3
Gallup 06/30 – 07/02 2641 RV 2.0 47 43 Obama +4
Rasmussen 06/29 – 07/01 3000 LV 2.0 49 44 Obama +5
CNN 06/26 – 06/29 906 RV 3.5 50 45 Obama +5
McLaughlin (R) 06/26 – 06/29 1000 LV 46 38 Obama +8
Pew Research 06/18 – 06/29 1574 RV 48 40 Obama +8
Democracy Corps (D) 06/22 – 06/25 2000 LV 49 45 Obama +4
Time 06/19 – 06/25 805 RV 3.5 47 43 Obama +4
LA Times/Bloomberg 06/19 – 06/23 1115 RV 49 37 Obama +12
F&M/Hearst-Argyle 06/16 – 06/22 1501 RV 2.5 42 36 Obama +6
Newsweek 06/18 – 06/19 896 RV 4.0 51 36 Obama +15
FOX News 06/17 – 06/18 900 RV 45 41 Obama +4
USA Today/Gallup 06/15 – 06/19 1310 LV 50 44 Obama +6
ABC News/Wash Post 06/12 – 06/15 RV 3.0 49 45 Obama +4
Cook/RT Strategies 06/12 – 06/15 880 RV 3.3 44 40 Obama +4
Reuters/Zogby 06/12 – 06/14 1113 LV 3.0 47 42 Obama +5
Ipsos 06/05 – 06/11 LV 50 43 Obama +7
Rasmussen 06/08 – 06/10 3000 LV 2.0 49 44 Obama +5
Gallup 06/07 – 06/09 2633 RV 2.0 48 41 Obama +7
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl 06/06 – 06/09 1000 RV 3.1 47 41 Obama +6
Hotline/FD 06/05 – 06/08 806 RV 3.5 44 42 Obama +2
IBD/TIPP 06/02 – 06/08 916 RV 43 40 Obama +3
CNN 06/04 – 06/05 921 RV 49 46 Obama +3
CBS News 05/30 – 06/03 930 RV 48 42 Obama +6
USA Today/Gallup 05/30 – 06/01 803 RV 47 44 Obama +3
Cook/RT Strategies 05/29 – 05/31 802 RV 44 43 Obama +1
Pew Research 05/21 – 05/25 1242 RV 47 44 Obama +3
Newsweek 05/21 – 05/22 1205 RV 46 46 Tie
Reuters/Zogby 05/15 – 05/18 1076 LV 48 40 Obama +8
IBD/TIPP 05/12 – 05/18 953 A 3.2 48 37 Obama +11
Rasmussen 05/13 – 05/16 3000 LV 2.0 44 45 McCain +1
Gallup 05/12 – 05/16 4385 RV 2.0 44 47 McCain +3
Democracy Corps (D) 05/13 – 05/15 1014 LV 48 46 Obama +2
Battleground 05/11 – 05/14 1018 LV 49 47 Obama +2
Quinnipiac 05/08 – 05/12 1475 RV 2.4 47 40 Obama +7
ABC News/Wash Post 05/08 – 05/11 1122 A 51 44 Obama +7
POS/GQR 05/07 – 05/08 800 LV 48 43 Obama +5
LA Times/Bloomberg 05/01 – 05/08 1986 RV 46 40 Obama +6
Ipsos 04/30 – 05/04 755 RV 46 42 Obama +4
USA Today/Gallup 05/01 – 05/03 803 LV 47 48 McCain +1
CBS News/NY Times 05/01 – 05/03 601 RV 4.0 51 40 Obama +11
Hotline/FD 04/30 – 05/03 803 RV 47 43 Obama +4
CNN 04/28 – 04/30 906 RV 49 45 Obama +4
FOX News 04/28 – 04/29 900 RV 43 46 McCain +3
CBS News/NY Times 04/25 – 04/29 956 RV 45 45 Tie
NBC/WSJ 04/25 – 04/28 1006 RV 46 43 Obama +3
Rasmussen 04/24 – 04/27 1600 LV 46 46 Tie
Pew Research 04/23 – 04/27 1323 RV 50 44 Obama +6
AP-Ipsos 04/23 – 04/27 760 RV 46 44 Obama +2
Newsweek 04/24 – 04/25 1203 RV 47 44 Obama +3
USA Today/Gallup 04/18 – 04/20 1016 A 47 44 Obama +3
Cook/RT Strategies 04/17 – 04/20 802 RV 45 44 Obama +1
Newsweek 04/16 – 04/17 1209 RV 48 44 Obama +4
Reuters/Zogby 04/10 – 04/13 1049 LV 45 45 Tie
ABC/Wash Post 04/10 – 04/13 1197 A 49 44 Obama +5
Rasmussen 04/10 – 04/13 1600 LV 42 49 McCain +7
AP-Ipsos 04/07 – 04/09 749 RV 45 45 Tie
Gallup 04/02 – 04/06 4380 RV 2.0 45 45 Tie
CBS News/NY Times 03/28 – 04/02 1196 RV 47 42 Obama +5
Hotline/FD 03/28 – 03/31 799 RV 44 46 McCain +2
Rasmussen 03/27 – 03/30 1600 LV 42 47 McCain +5
NBC/WSJ 03/24 – 03/25 800 RV 44 42 Obama +2
Pew Research 03/19 – 03/22 1,248 RV 49 43 Obama +6
FOX News 03/18 – 03/19 900 RV 43 44 McCain +1
CBS News 03/15 – 03/18 RV 48 43 Obama +5
CNN 03/14 – 03/16 950 RV 47 46 Obama +1
USA Today/Gallup 03/14 – 03/15 685 LV 49 47 Obama +2
Reuters/Zogby 03/13 – 03/14 1004 LV 40 46 McCain +6
NBC/WSJ 03/07 – 03/10 1,012 RV 47 44 Obama +3
Cook/RT Strategies 03/06 – 03/09 802 RV 43 45 McCain +2
Newsweek 03/05 – 03/06 1,215 RV 46 45 Obama +1
ABC/Wash Post 02/28 – 03/02 LV 53 42 Obama +11
Cook/RT Strategies 02/28 – 03/02 802 RV 47 38 Obama +9
LA Times/Bloomberg 02/21 – 02/25 RV 42 44 McCain +2
AP-Ipsos 02/22 – 02/24 755 RV 51 41 Obama +10
USA Today/Gallup 02/21 – 02/24 1653 LV 47 48 McCain +1
Pew Research 02/20 – 02/24 1240 RV 50 43 Obama +7
CBS News/NY Times 02/20 – 02/24 1115 RV 50 38 Obama +12
FOX News 02/19 – 02/20 900 RV 47 43 Obama +4
Hotline/FD 02/14 – 02/17 803 RV 48 40 Obama +8
Reuters/Zogby 02/13 – 02/16 928 LV 47 40 Obama +7
USA Today/Gallup 02/08 – 02/10 706 LV 50 46 Obama +4
AP-Ipsos 02/07 – 02/10 1,029 A 48 42 Obama +6
Time 02/01 – 02/04 958 LV 48 41 Obama +7
CNN 02/01 – 02/03 974 RV 52 44 Obama +8
Cook/RT Strategies 01/31 – 02/02 855 RV 45 43 Obama +2
ABC/Wash Post 01/30 – 02/01 1249 A 49 46 Obama +3
FOX News 01/30 – 01/31 900 RV 44 43 Obama +1
NPR 01/29 – 01/31 1000 LV 47 48 McCain +1
Rasmussen 01/25 – 01/27 1200 LV 41 47 McCain +6
NBC/WSJ 01/20 – 01/22 1008 A 42 42 Tie
LA Times/Bloomberg 01/18 – 01/22 1312 RV 41 42 McCain +1
Rasmussen 01/16 – 01/17 800 LV 46 41 Obama +5
USA Today/Gallup 01/10 – 01/13 1106 LV 45 50 McCain +5
Hotline/FD 01/10 – 01/12 803 RV 41 39 Obama +2
CNN 01/09 – 01/10 840 RV 49 48 Obama +1
Rasmussen 01/04 – 01/06 800 LV 43 46 McCain +3
FOX News 12/18 – 12/19 900 RV 40 44 McCain +4
Zogby 12/12 – 12/14 1000 LV 47 43 Obama +4
CNN 12/06 – 12/09 RV 48 48 Tie
Rasmussen 11/26 – 11/27 800 LV 44 44 Tie
Rasmussen 11/16 – 11/17 800 LV 46 43 Obama +3
Gallup 11/11 – 11/14 897 RV 47 44 Obama +3
Quinnipiac 10/23 – 10/29 1636 RV 43 43 Tie
LA Times/Bloomberg 10/19 – 10/22 522 RV 44 36 Obama +8
FOX News 09/25 – 09/26 900 RV 40 38 Obama +2
Rasmussen 09/19 – 09/20 800 LV 46 41 Obama +5
Quinnipiac 08/07 – 08/13 1545 LV 43 39 Obama +4
Rasmussen 08/01 – 08/02 800 LV 46 40 Obama +6
FOX News 07/17 – 07/18 900 RV 47 37 Obama +10
Rasmussen 07/16 – 07/17 1029 LV 47 38 Obama +9
Zogby 07/12 – 07/14 1012 LV 45 42 Obama +3
CNN 06/22 – 06/24 907 RV 48 44 Obama +4
Newsweek 06/20 – 06/21 831 RV 51 41 Obama +10
Rasmussen 06/13 – 06/14 800 LV 46 38 Obama +8
USA Today/Gallup 06/11 – 06/14 927 RV 48 46 Obama +2
Quinnipiac 06/05 – 06/11 1,711 RV 43 41 Obama +2
LA Times/Bloomberg 06/07 – 06/10 1056 RV 47 35 Obama +12
Zogby 05/17 – 05/20 993 RV 46 43 Obama +3
Hotline/FD 05/16 – 05/20 800 RV 42 39 Obama +3
Newsweek 05/02 – 05/03 831 RV 52 39 Obama +13
Marist 04/26 – 05/01 823 RV 39 46 McCain +7
Quinnipiac 04/25 – 05/01 1166 RV 42 42 Tie
Hotline/FD 04/26 – 04/30 801 RV 48 37 Obama +11
NBC/WSJ 04/20 – 04/23 1004 A 45 39 Obama +6
Rasmussen 04/09 – 04/10 800 LV 48 42 Obama +6
Time 04/05 – 04/09 1102 RV 47 42 Obama +5
LA Times/Bloomberg 04/05 – 04/09 603 RV 48 40 Obama +8
Time 03/23 – 03/26 1102 RV 43 45 McCain +2
Rasmussen 03/14 – 03/15 800 LV 44 44 Tie
Time 03/09 – 03/12 1500 RV 44 41 Obama +3
American Res. Group 03/02 – 03/05 2104 LV 42 46 McCain +4
Newsweek 02/28 – 03/01 1202 RV 45 43 Obama +2
Time 02/23 – 02/26 1144 RV 46 42 Obama +4
Zogby 02/22 – 02/24 1078 LV 44 40 Obama +4
Quinnipiac 02/13 – 02/19 1536 RV 43 43 Tie
Marist 02/12 – 02/15 978 RV 41 44 McCain +3
USA Today/Gallup 02/09 – 02/11 936 RV 48 48 Tie
Rasmussen 02/07 – 02/08 800 LV 44 44 Tie
Newsweek 01/24 – 01/25 837 RV 48 42 Obama +6
Time 01/22 – 01/23 1064 RV 42 49 McCain +7
ABC News/Wash Post 01/16 – 01/19 1000 A 47 45 Obama +2
Rasmussen 01/17 – 01/18 800 LV 47 44 Obama +3
Newsweek 01/17 – 01/18 1003 A 46 44 Obama +2
Hotline/FD 01/11 – 01/14 800 RV 38 43 McCain +5
Battleground 01/08 – 01/11 500 LV 39 51 McCain +12
IBD/TIPP 01/02 – 01/04 951 A 36 48 McCain +12
CNN 12/15 – 12/17 1019 A 43 47 McCain +4
Rasmussen 12/12 – 12/13 1000 LV 40 46 McCain +6
Newsweek 12/06 – 12/07 1000 A 43 45 McCain +2
FOX News 12/05 – 12/06 900 RV 30 49 McCain +19
Rasmussen 11/06 – 11/07 1000 LV 39 47 McCain +8
Advertisements